NHL Point Streak Survivor Picks: Nov 2, 2026

By Shawn Stewart

Picks lock at 7:00 PM ET, when the first two games drop the puck. A point is a goal or assist in regulation or overtime, and shootout points don’t count. Here are today’s three plays from Last Board.

Yesterday: 8 of our 9 listed picks recorded a point, including McDavid (1 G, 1 A), Draisaitl (2 A), Kaprizov (1 G) and Carlsson (3 A). Only Tim Stützle was blanked.

SAFE: Nathan MacKinnon (COL @ CHI)
MacKinnon is the only player on a thin four-game slate with a 75%+ chance of a point, at about 78%. He has 24 points in 14 games and fires 4.1 shots per game, and his points over 1.5 is priced +115. Chicago allows 3.79 goals per game, 30th in the NHL. The risk is that he was held pointless in 3 of his last 10 games, and a lopsided win can trim his minutes. He’s about 32% owned. Use him if you lack a better top-tier option later. Otherwise, save him for a bigger slate.

FLEX: David Pastrnak (BOS vs VGK)
Pastrnak has about a 70% chance of a point and a floor of 0, with roughly 13% ownership. He has 19 points in 15 games and a point in 4 of his last 5, and Boston is going for a sixth straight home win. The risk is that he’s scoring on 16% of his shots (8 goals on 4.9 expected), so a cold finishing night leaves him pointless. Vegas could also get goalie Carter Hart back. He’s a good home-ice play that keeps you off the MacKinnon crowd.

TRAP: Anton Lundell (FLA vs DET)
Lundell had a hat trick last Friday, so his name is getting attention. The market prices him at only about 24% to score tonight, which puts his chance of a point near 55%. One big night doesn’t change his scoring rate. Skip him.

Win probabilities are model estimates. Ownership figures are estimates, since Splash doesn’t publish pick percentages. Confirm lineups and goalies before lock. Not financial or betting advice